Anti-Gun Control Arguments: Myths, Fallacies Facts & Stats

crazed gunman

The gun control debate is an interesting one as both ‘sides’ have a wealth of stats they can cherry pick from in order to make their case.  However, it would appear that the self-ascribed “pro gun” crowd (a bit misleading because it implies that any argument for tighter gun control or regulation makes a person “anti-gun”) amounts to a plethora of really bad arguments that encompass a wealth of standard fallacies that are repeated time and again.

Keeping the “gun control debate” in context

In all of this back and forth over the alleged effects of stricter vs looser gun control, it’s important to keep in mind what’s being debated: current levels of gun control vs. slightly higher levels of gun control (not unfettered access to any and all firearms vs. an outright gun ban).  This is important to keep in mind because opponents to increased gun control often mistakenly frame the debate as “the right to own firearms vs no right to own firearms.”  This is a bit of straw man as support for an all-out gun ban has almost no support (the right to bear arms is firmly established in the US constitution) and that is not what is being proposed.

Most of these laws actually have strong support from typical gun owners: stronger background checks, help for people with certain mental disorders, and a ban on specific guns considered by law enforcement to fall under a class of “assault weapons” and magazines of a certain size capacity.  Law abiding citizens are not being stripped of their rights to defend their homes.  These laws would not affect their ability to purchase handguns, shotguns and rifles, nor are anyone’s weapons being “confiscated” (“assault weapons” included).  In fact, many of the laws being discussed already exist in states like CA, and they would simply be adopted nationwide.

Irrelevant Regional Situations or Correlations

“Chicago and Washington DC have/had handgun bans and their homicide rates are off the charts”

Chicago has been known as a crime capital since the 1960’s/1970’s.  The handgun ban didn’t happen until the 1980’s.  In reality, cities with very high crime rates tend to ban handguns (not the other way around).  Those who make this argument are confusing cause and effect.  Needless to say, things like poverty and urban density need to be taken into account, but many in the anti gun control crowd care little for outside factors in this case.

As you can see there is little correlation between Washington DC’s handgun ban and its murder rates–which rose and fell within the time frame of its handgun ban.  And even though the significant rise in murder rates rose 10 years after the ban, and started falling about 14 years before the ending of the ban, opponents to gun laws will blame the ban for the rise and credit its repeal for its fall.  See Just Facts for more graphs like this.

washington dc gun laws

“In Mexico, guns are illegal and look at all of the gun violence there.”

First it should be noted that guns are NOT illegal in Mexico (for some reason this gets repeated often, but it is not true). See Gun politics in Mexico

Another fallacy here is that the proponents of these arguments are using a developing country as their example.  Comparing developed countries to one another gives us a different picture.  It’s clear that the US (which has the loosest gun laws among developed nations) is off the charts in terms of gun deaths.  So international stats don’t bode well for gun regulation opponents (unless they stick to using undeveloped or developing nations to make their point–and that’s a pretty low baseline to use).  Many gun control opponents counter that in other countries, similar deaths occur but with other weapons.  However, murder rates are also higher in the US.  This also leaves little room to use stats to argue that loose gun restrictions make it easier for murder victims to defend themselves against attempted murders/homicides (at least enough to off set the increased murders/homicide attempts they face under looser gun laws).

Firearm Related Deaths in the US and a few other Countries
nations gun stats united states canada

Murder Rates in the US and other countries

united states murder rates comparison

Source: OECD Library

Intentional Homicide and Rape? The US also ranks #1 or close to #1 among developed nations.  Keep in mind, these are the crimes that anti-gun control sources claim our high gun ownership helps prevent.  It’s also worth noting that that Nordic nations have high rates when it comes to rape.  Many anti-gun law activists cite the Nordic countries as high gun owning havens (at least by European standards) and note their relatively low homicide rates as evidence that higher gun ownership suppresses homicide.  On the other hand, also using rape as a leading reason for loose gun restrictions (to help women offset the size/strength advantage of men) makes the high rate of rape in these countries result in an awkward contradiction.


United States England Homicide
United States England Rape

gun ownership countries

A scatter plot of OECD countries showing their relationship between intentional homicides and gun freedom index does reveal an overall correlation between lower rates of intentional homicide and “lower gun freedom.”

Mexico, whose gun freedom index puts it at more or less at the center of the pack is in a league of its own in regards to homicides.  This is why simply comparing the US and Mexico is convenient for those arguing against the efficacy of gun control legislation.  However, beyond a mere US-Mexico comparison, the overall OECD stats show lower homicides alongside higher gun control.

OECD Countries homicides and gun laws

A comparison of OECD countries shows lower homicide rates among countries with higher gun restrictions (or “lower gun freedom”). 2011 stats were used for both metrics. While the Freedom Index has updated their Gun Freedom Index to 2014, the stats for homicide rates have not been updated. 2011 is the most recent year where both metrics are available.

“But the UK/England has more violence than the US!”

One of the talking points we hear often is the claim that England has more “violent crime” than the United States and other countries in Europe.  Generally this is intended as a talking point to counter England’s lower homicide rates.  There is one problem, what’s considered a “violent crime” is not the same in England as it is in the United States.  In England, even an affray is considered a “violent crime.”  Here in the US we generally associate “violent crime” with actual physical injury.

UK England Britain violent crime rate

Not all violent crime is equal

From Violent Crime in England and Wales

Seriousness and injury
• The majority of incidents categorised as violent crime involve no significant physical injury to the victim, although they can still be extremely traumatic experiences.

• In 48 per cent of all BCS violent incidents there was no injury, rising to 62 per cent and 63 percent for common assault and robbery respectively (year ending December 2003 interviews).

• There was no injury in at least 51 per cent1 of all recorded violence against the person
offences in 2003 (Table 1a).

• At the other end of the spectrum, the more serious offences within violence against the person accounted for five per cent of recorded violence in the year to December 2003 (Table 1a).

• Eleven per cent of BCS violent incidents, from 2002/03 BCS interviews, resulted in medical attention from a doctor. Two per cent of all BCS violent incidents resulted in a hospital stay, ranging from six per cent of wounding victims to one per cent of robbery victims (Simmons and Dodd, 2003).

Either-Or Fallacies

This sort of fallacy assumes we have to choose between two mutually exclusive options.  For example:

“More people die from (insert cause of death here) than guns.”


“The REAL problems is (insert sociological/psychological/societal problem (violent TV/video games, medication, lack of morals, etc) here)”

While there are certainly other, more prominent causes of death as well as a number of factors that lead people to commit violent crime, the idea that we shouldn’t pass stronger gun laws because of these other factors is simply wrong.  Perhaps violence is too glorified and there are too many people suffering from anxiety or depression–but stronger background checks can help lawmakers lessen the likeliness of mentally unstable people or ex-felons from obtaining a firearm.

Furthermore, there are laws and restrictions for many of these other potential causes of death.  Take driving (a favorite among the anti-gun law advocates) for example.  Not every conceivable vehicle is street legal.  There are certain requirements that must be met, along with a yearly registration.  Not everyone can drive.  We have driver’s license tests and frequent renewals.  And people don’t get to drive however they want.   There are speed limits and other traffic laws to obey.

In both cases (owning vehicles and guns) there are certain requirements, limitations and regulations.  It’s a matter of how far we go to regulate these things.  Furthermore, guns are specifically designed to kill, whereas vehicles are designed for transportation but can also kill due to the laws of physics. So while the aggregate number of deaths due to vehicles is higher, this is due to our far more common exposure to them in our every day transportation uses.

It should also be noted that there are advocates for doing something about many of these other problems.  There are people trying to ban violent TV/video games.  There are people against drunk driving or the use of anti-depressants.  This is again, not an either-or situation.

Anecdotal/Personal Experience

“Every gun I’ve purchased at a gun show required me to go through the usual steps, therefore there’s no such thing as a gun show loophole.”

We’ve all heard these arguments.  Someone will make a general claim based on their own personal experience.   But the gun show loophole (really a “private seller loophole”) exists.  In fact, an investigation showed that gun show re-sellers were selling to buyers who openly admitted they could probably not pass a background check.

Also, some have argued that closing the gun show loophole somehow prevents law abiding citizens from obtaining firearms.  But at most, it simply requires that gun show retailers apply the same standards as licensed firearm re-sellers.  Licensed firearm re-seller are far more common and accessible than gun shows, so it’s difficult to argue that this somehow hampers law abiding citizens from obtaining a gun.

Even under the Assault Weapons Ban, people still died

There is actually some evidence that the assault weapons suppressed the number of victims in mass shootings. Nevertheless, opponents of the ban will point to the fact that they “still happened” and ignore the fact that less people fell victim under these mass shootings during this time period.

Obama assault weapon ban

 See: A guide to mas shootings in America

Logical Fallacies: Straw man arguments / Non-sequiturs

“Gun Deaths still happen in areas with stronger gun laws, therefore stronger gun laws don’t work.”

The most common straw man argument I see used assumes stronger gun laws “fail” because they don’t stop gun violence altogether.  The reality is that at best, we can hope to curtail/lessen gun deaths, thereby saving some lives.  Unfortunately, many “pro gun” advocates ignore this altogether and want to treat gun laws and gun deaths as a zero sum game (as if saving thousands of lives over a certain period of time doesn’t matter because you haven’t saved every life).

“There are instances of murders that involve killing numerous people using a knife”

Similar to the above argument, this ignores the fact that gun laws are intended to reduce the number of deaths.  Someone can simply do more damage with a gun (and more to the point, with a higher powered rifle that can hold more rounds) than he/she can with knife.  What’s more: there are more options for a person confronted with a knife, like running or defending oneself with an improvised weapon.

This argument also misses a very basic point.  There ARE laws on knives as well.  There are limits on the type of bladed weapons an individual can carry or even own. The ‘knife’ diversion would be an excellent argument under the context of a gun ban and unfettered access to knives.  But this is not the case.  We have both knife and gun control laws, and what’s being discussed is tightening gun control laws.

“There are more and more guns in the United States, yet violent crime continues to drop”

Technically, it is true that the sheer number of guns in the US has continued to climb.  However the rate of households and individual gun owners continues to drop (in other words, the sheer number is rising largely because gun owners are buying more guns, not because we are seeing a huge increase in gun owners).  So rates of gun ownership aren’t actually increasing.  Rather, individuals with guns appear to own more and more of them.

Analysis: Fewer U.S. gun owners own more guns
gun ownership united states

 The Government is taking away people’s rights!

Quite often we hear about “the government” as though it’s some alien specter that flies in from en high to impose its will.  We forget that these are elected officials that were voted in through majority votes. Guess what?  Obama’s new gun policy is showing majority support.  It would seem that Obama, as an elected official, is doing what a majority of Americans want him to do.  This is the point of our voting process, isn’t it?  Sadly, the same people who berate the government for not actually representing the people, berate the government for actually doing what “the people” ask.  So what they really complaining about is the fact that government isn’t doing what they personally prefer.

Obama gun control poll

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